Monday, October 27, 2014

Prime minister says 'Make it in India'

Recently TOI  was all about 'Measure to facilitate ease of biz, boost manufacturing'. It is mind boggling to see the various proposals on the anvil. It said 'The aim is to reconcile the interest of labor with the ease of doing business'.

 This takes me back to 50+ years in time. I had just learnt productivity techniques from ILO experts.  And our  gurus had advised us that it would not be easy to implement but hoped we could do so later on . But Productivity should be our mantra and work study the method.

 They were right, there was resistance for time study.  My boss suggested that I do time studies on the sly. I demurred as we were taught to build trust  by being open. This lack of trust created situations which were bizarre.

 Most companies resorted to hiring temporary labor, who obviously worked harder. The temps would be given a break periodically so that they had no claims for permanency.  Assemblers went missing after three weeks and came back after a week's break. This ploy was more about sticking to head count norms dictated by our MNC head office. So we hid heads from being counted by hiring casual labor.

Later the labor department (or was it the union?) forced companies to make these temps permanent. Obviously productivity went low but we bribed them with OT to meet our targets. I remember one union guy advising me to plan in such a way his men had as much OT as possible. Limits were set for OT but none cared! The more OT you gave more popular you were.

 Not that Union leaders were any better and I read that the situation is the same.  Leaders were given offices and I never saw them working. Compare this to a company I visited in the USA. The president of the union was on a machine like the rest. Men came to talk to him but that did not reduce his output. Possibly things changed over time in the USA as well. The reason the country went outsourcing.

Another pertinent example of union and management relations was from a dutch company. They had sent a team to study our factory workings before they chose to have a joint venture with us. When I discovered that one of the team was a union official, I expressed my surprise. He said 'we have learnt not to bloody each others nose!' Anyway it is all history.

In my last job in India, the Union agreed for productivity norms. In real terms they were working for just two to three hours a day! So when we told them that they had to produce a lot more, they sought  an escape route and renegotiated a gradual increase in productivity. A so-called win-win situation!

I have been out of touch with Indian manufacturing scene since long.  I am told things have changed for the better. It was a nightmare while I was working in India. Now I can vouch that cars are made better and so are the many electrical white goods. 

But also read that Nokia and another company moved out of Tamil Nadu as the government was not very helpful. And today's TOI covers the sad state of ITI in Bangalore, one of the better run public sector companies initially.

No wonder the papers said: Cheers from India Inc and Jeers from the Unions. It is an uphill task.The scene has been murky for the real and honest labor, with the management, barring few, exploiting them and later the politicians muscling in and making it murkier! 

Any way a start has been made and hope the disappointments our generation faced are a thing of the past.  

Here are the new mantras:
New-Look ITI's to churn out skilled workers. We have 11500 ITI's with 16 lakh seats. Only 10% of the work force has formal or informal technical training. South Korea has 96%, Japan 8o% and Germany 75%.  Apprentices under going training 2.82 lakhs against 4.9 lakh seats. Similar schemes in Germany 30 lakhs, China 2000 lakhs and Japan 100 lakhs.

Obviously this scheme needs a partnership between Industry and Government. Especially in setting syllabus for the various skills. I read that the PM has appointed brand ambassadors to rejuvenate the dormant ITI's.

Measures will work only if States join in: The paper talks about inspectors, 1800 in all and part of the central labor commissioner, who will visit factories on randomly generated targets. It is hoped that this will end the arbitrary raids, bribery and harassment. ( Hope so!)  The rest of the factories are under the state purview, who regulate the bulk  about 8000 industries. 

There are many more challenges. We need to compete with China who are years ahead in 'Made in China'.  For instance china produces a little more than 50% of world's total production steel. Nice to know India is the 4th largest producer of steel at about 5% of world production, behind Japan and USA. We could have been easily the second largest if not the first, but we are content to export raw materials. That too illegally!

It is not just rhetoric that brings in manufacturers to this country. For me it was really upsetting that India which could have surely gone ahead with their skills and industry culture missed the opportunity. As I was mulling about it and feeling bad, I saw the Sunday edition of  The Hindu covering the realities of  'Make in India' in detail.




Here are a few quotes from The Hindu:
Markets across India are flooded with Chinese products, which are grim reminders of how Made-in-China has come to dominate our lives. (The claim made is that our quality is superior!). But Tata Motor's Jaguar Land Rover opened its first plant in China. India did well for 5 years from 2005 but lost steam thereafter....India is importing almost all products from China...it is estimated that 99% of Bangalore silk saris are made with Chinese yarn. (shocking!) . We import $51 Billion and export only $15 Billion to China. Our manufacturing output has dropped by 0.7 % in 2013-14. There is more to digest, but the good news is that costs are going up in China and we could grab the low end of the market as China moves up to hi-tech manufacture. (Some consolation that a few companies such as Godrej, Bosch, Havells and Micromax are coming back to India! But it hurts as we could have been the hi-tech manufacturer for the world instead of China!)

In India, it is not the democracy but the lack of accountability for bureaucrats or politicians on the economy. 
The article 'Beijing Lessons for Delji?'  speaks about the obvious lead China has taken. It says 10 years to catch up. I hope so! 
It is intriguing that the experts from Stanford The Hindu approached say 'private sector matters too!' and I gather they are not impressed by Indian managements, especially the family owned industries which are 'worse managed...'
There are the usual grumbles about 'ease of doing business' and 'rules for labor market flexibility'..There is a discussion on the Beijing style and its unsuitability for India!

They speak about mass persuasion and that is where Narendra Modi's style proves useful, at least for now! All he needs to do is to convert troublesome unions as partners in growth along with private sector which in turn will become pro-India instead of Pro-investor returns in the short term! 

The Hindu speaks about the wrong signals the Nokia sends by closing down its operations! That tax disputes have put a big question mark over 'make in India' pitch.

I am not worried about the private sector, they will find solutions to their targets and priorities, but was concerned about the burgeoning  population and the need to create jobs.

I tried to see the employment situation in India and the chart below confused me. I thought that we had more unemployment, but the chart says it is below 10% except youth unemployment. But it also shows unemployed persons are  more than employed persons. I am just putting it here while I attempt understand this.
India LabourLastPreviousHighestLowesthUnit
Unemployment Rate5.206.309.405.20Percent[+]
Employed Persons28999.0028708.0028999.0017491.00Thousand[+]
Unemployed Persons39963.0039974.0041750.0024861.00Thousand[+]
Population1233.001217.001233.00359.00Million[+]
Retirement Age Women60.0060.0060.0060.00[+]
Retirement Age Men60.0060.0060.0060.00[+]
Labor Force Participation Rate50.9052.9052.9050.90Percent[+]
Wages4.835.075.473.12INR[+]
Wages In Manufacturing6.256.556.973.92INR[+]
Youth Unemployment Rate18.1018.1018.10Percent

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Nikhila Nandagopal. Our 'rear-window' celebrity! Top FIVE in Femina Miss India 2014 contest

THE REAR WINDOW
One day when Nikhila is not too busy I hope she will appear for a picture!







The other day I  heard Tara call me, 'Nidhi come and see who is here!' I stepped out and was pleasantly surprised to see a very pretty girl with a radiant smile. I said to myself, 'I have seen her recently on TV! And before my grey cells could connect , Tara added triumphantly 'Nikhila! She was in the TOP 5 at the Miss Femina India contest 2014'

Yes, Tara and I had watched the recent Miss India 2014 contest. And we had experienced a tension, which obviously is nothing to what her parents and the many involved with her contest were facing. I also noticed that as the final two were waiting for the winner to be announced that Nikhila looked relaxed and appeared as if she was sure of the result! I had wondered about it and asked her. She smiled and said. 'When it came to that point, I knew that Koyal Rana would be the choice!'

She seemed to have taken the result well, and said she enjoyed the experience and learned a lot!
In fact, her father said that she was busy consoling others who cried in disappointment!

My first memory of Nikhila was when we dropped in at our neighbors, her parents Aruna and Nandu. Nikhila joined us later and I noticed that she had a very bright smile and friendly eyes. She would be around 14 then and she responded to us in a very pleasant manner.

Occasionally I would see her as she waited for her school bus in front of our house and she would be totally in her own world. Sometimes I could hear western music from the rear window. Never loud but I guess they were her favorite numbers as they were often repeated. Don't ask me what they were!

The rest of Nikhila I know is what I hear from Tara. She would suddenly tell me,  'Nikhila is going to US for her studies'. Then later say, 'No they decided that she would go after her 12th'. Or I would hear, 'You know she is a model now and is very busy.  The well known Prasad Biddappa is mentoring  her'.

One day Tara told me, 'Nikhila will soon be busy as an actor! It seems she will do a play along with Girish Karnad!' That made me sit up. We all admire Girish Karnad for the many contributions he has made to literature, drama and movies.

The latest news is that she is on her way to the US to do a double major in Physics and Business Management at Umass AMHERST. Tara speaking about Nikhila, as a teacher and a well-wisher, said 'It is impressive that she has developed a good balance between her academic pursuits and her modeling career. She as an IB student has managed her time well by completing her rigorous assignments sincerely.'

Nikhila, just eighteen, is a celebrity now. She is lucky to have such supportive parents. Aruna is a very senior H. R. Director in IBM India and Nandu is a senior advocate in Bangalore.

We are proud of Nikhila and it can be confidently predicted that with the genes she has inherited, she would be a great and the prettiest physicist or an astute business manager or be on top of whatever she chooses to be. We wish her all the best!

Recently I came across an interview with Nikhila which I feel is a must read!
It is very well written! Or shoud I say good questions and great replies! It has brought the essence of her personality and has great pictures as well. 
http://www.talktotiger.in/2014/08/talking-to-nikhila-nandgopal.html?spref=fb

 A few out of the hundreds of pictures on the web. We get a glimpse of her versatility.
One of her early fashion shows! Her future is a great deal  clearer!
"Nikhila has catapulted barriers from being a girl next door to a vogue supermodel looks. Given her talent and sophistication she is ready to explode bombastically at the finally with her panache. And thats not all, she is rightfully a woman of substance with astuteness- what a deadly combination!. She may be mistaken as a demure beauty but once on stage, you can see all her inhibition has metamorphose into poised yet spirited lady who is ready to take over the world. Her conduct is so endearing that its fascinating to see her offering something new every time. Yet one can get glimpse her signature simplicity. And thats her USP. A very eloquent lady who has powerful opinion to reach out to general mass with conviction. She would do well at any competition."



She is one of theTop FIve


















































"I just realised that in exactly one month, I would have landed in the United States to start my next adventure in college. Can't wait to get back to my books!" 
























Kerala government declared itself free from extreme poverty on November 1

  It felt good to read about Kerala being the first to eradicate extreme poverty! There has been a lot of discussions on the Kerala model!  ...